Updated exit poll:: Conservative PiS wins parliamentary elections with 37.7pct of votes - Ipsos
October 26, 2015
Poland's conservative opposition party Law & Justice (PiS) led by Jaroslaw Kaczynski won Sunday general elections with 37.7% of votes and secured a slim majority of 232 seats in the 460-seat lower house to govern alone for the first time in Poland's post-communist history, exit poll results from 90% of surveyed precincts show.
The incumbent centrist party Civic Platform (PO) secured 23.6% of votes and 137 MPs.
The lower house will consist of five parties, as Kukiz'15, Nowoczesna and Polish People’s Party (PSL) appeared to have passed the required threshold for parliamentary representation.
Anti-establishment grouping of Pawel Kukiz, the dark horse in May presidential elections, secured 8.7% and 42 seats in the lower house.
PiS and Kukiz fall 21 votes short of a constitutional majority, a majority sought by leaders of both parties.
PiS could seek to build a broader governing majority than already secured in the lower house, Kaczynski told a party rally following the closing of polls.
"This camp can be expanded," Kaczynski said. "A broader camp could arise in parliament and we reach out our hand to those who seek good changes."
Liberal grouping Nowoczesna secured 7.7% of votes and 30 MPs. Junior coalition partner Agrarian Polish People’s Party (PSL) got 5.2% and will likely have 18 MPs.
Leftist coalition United Left secured 7.5% and failed to make it past the 8% threshold for coalitions.
Ultra-conservative Korwin and ultra-leftist Razem (Together) failed to make to the 5% mark, but the 4.9% result for Korwin may still offer the party hope for success in the final results.
According to Ipsos, voter turnout was 51.0%.
After the exit poll results were announced Kaczynski said that PiS’s victory is a unique in the Polish history victory of one party, a victory which, he said, a lot of different people have worked for in the last 25 years. He mentioned his late twin brother President Lech Kaczynski, who perished in the Smolensk air crash saying that it was thanks to him that the Law and Justice party was created.
PM Kopacz thanked all those who voted for PO and congratulated the winners.
She said that PO that ruled in the last eight years “have not wasted these years”. “Poland today is much more beautiful than eight years ago”, she said.
She also said that PO is leaving to the winners of the parliamentary election – Poland that is developing, Poland with a single-digit unemployment.
Poland's election authority PKW has vowed to issue preliminary national results defining which parties qualify for potential seats late Monday, and the final results with seat allocation Tuesday.
Exit polls have determined seat allocation as a projection from national figures, not on the basis of local results.