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Leaders of the Pack

6 July 2005

According to recent opinion polls, the presidential race leaders will be Lech Kaczyński, Prof. Zbigniew Religa and Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz.

In the June 22 poll conducted by the daily Rzeczpospolita, the independent candidate Religa, an outstanding heart surgeon, has 25 percent of support-3 points ahead of Kaczyński. According to the PBS polling center, if the two meet in the second round of the presidential election, Religa stands a better chance.

According to a Pentor poll, Sejm Speaker Cimoszewicz enjoys the greatest support from voters who have a firm opinion on their candidate: 22 percent want to vote for him. The poll indicates that nearly one-fourth of respondents have problems choosing a candidate, and 11 percent would not go to the ballot. Cimoszewicz also leads in a poll conducted by the OBOP polling center, with a high support of 27 percent. The first runner-up is Religa with 19 percent, the second-Kaczyński with 17 percent.

In a PGB poll conducted prior to Cimoszewicz's decision to run, he only obtained 13-percent support. Kaczyński topped the poll with 23 percent. If the runners-off are Kaczyński and Cimoszewicz, the PGB simulation indicates Kaczyński as the winner at 58:42.

Other important candidates with support in the polls of over 10 percent are Marek Borowski of the SDPL, Donald Tusk of the PO and Andrzej Lepper of Samoobrona.

 
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